Genes, Brain and Behavior

Purpose: In clinical trials, treatment efficacy is commonly assessed by comparing control and treatment groups. However, in large samples, even small and clinically trivial differences may achieve statistical significance. Accordingly, the Minimal Clinically Important Difference (MCID) is used as a threshold to determine whether statistically-significant effects are also clinically meaningful to patients. The objective of this study was to estimate the MCID for the Childhood Autism Rating Scale Second-Edition (CARS2) using the Patient Impression of Change (PIC) as an external anchor. Methods: Single-item PICs are not well suited to characterizing improvement in a multifaceted disorder such as ASD. Accordingly, the 77-item Autism Treatment Evaluation Checklist (ATEC) was used as a multi-item PIC. CARS2 and ATEC were administered concurrently to 62 children with ASD, aged 1.8-7.9 years, with assessments conducted six months apart. Results: The correlation between changes in CARS2 and ATEC total scores was 0.41-0.44 (p<0.0001), supporting the use of ATEC as an anchor measure. Two anchor-based methods yielded MCIDs of 2.39-2.82 CARS2 points. Two distribution-based methods produced MCIDs of 1.33-3.32. Conclusions: Taken together, these approaches suggest that a between-group difference of 2.6 CARS2 points (the midpoint of the anchor-based estimates) may serve as the MCID in children with ASD.

Developmental regression is a severe but poorly understood complication of several neurodevelopmental disorders. In Kleefstra syndrome (KLEFS1), caused by EHMT1 haploinsufficiency, regression often emerges during adolescence or early adulthood and is frequently preceded by marked sleep disturbance. Experimental work implicating EHMT1/G9a in metabolic regulation and stress responses raises the possibility that impaired metabolic resilience contributes to this vulnerability. Here, we aimed to investigate whether altered glucose metabolism is a feature of KLEFS1 and whether it relates to clinical variability, including regression. Through [18F]FDG-PET/CT, individuals with KLEFS1 who had experienced regression (n=4) exhibited a hypometabolic brain profile, whereas one individual who had not experienced regression showed globally elevated metabolic activity. In parallel, G9a mutant flies exhibited increased baseline metabolic rate and neuronal ATP levels together with sleep fragmentation resembling the clinical phenotype. Providing flies with oxidative stress to model KLEFS1 regression further exacerbated sleep disruption and was associated with a reduction in metabolic output. Importantly, adult high sugar feeding in flies prevented oxidative stress-induced worsening of sleep and maintained metabolic stability under challenge. Together, these findings suggest that regression in KLEFS1 and associated sleep disturbances are linked to underlying metabolic vulnerability and impaired maintenance of energy homeostasis under stress.

The Autism Spectrum Quotient (AQ-50) is widely used to assess autistic traits, yet its Hungarian version has not been psychometrically evaluated. We assessed the reliability, factor structure, temporal stability, convergent validity, and clinical utility of the Hungarian AQ-50 and a revised translation (AQ-50-HU-R) in two samples (N1 = 1967; N2 = 423), including autistic and non-autistic participants. The AQ-50-HU-R showed high internal consistency and test-retest reliability. A bifactor model provided the best fit ({chi}2[1125] = 1650.433, p < 0.001; CFI = 0.991; TLI = 0.990; RMSEA = 0.033 [90% CI = 0.030-0.037]; SRMR = 0.083), with 71% of common variance attributable to a general autistic traits factor. The total score distinguished clinically verified autistic participants from participants reporting no ASD diagnosis (AUC = 0.906), with a cutoff of 25. Associations with ADOS scores were weak or nonsignificant. The AQ-50-HU-R is best interpreted as a reliable total-score screening measure, supporting referral for comprehensive autism assessment.

Although the brain was traditionally considered immune-privileged, recent studies show immune factors play key roles in brain function. Dysfunction of these factors is linked to neurodevelopmental disorders, but mechanisms remain unclear. Using a maternal immune activation (MIA) mouse model, we investigated immune-related genes in neurodevelopmental disorder pathogenesis. MIA mice showed increased locomotor activity and disrupted prepulse inhibition. RNA-seq and qPCR analyses revealed persistent increases in major histocompatibility complex class II (MHCII) expression and persistent decreases in GABAergic synapse-related gene expression, particularly glutamate decarboxylase (Gad) expression, in dopaminergic regions. These expressions were negatively correlated, and immunohistochemistry showed MHCII at postsynaptic GABAergic synapses on dopaminergic neurons. Patch-clamp recordings confirmed reduced mIPSC frequency in MIA mice. MHCII knockout mice showed opposite phenotypes, while MHCII overexpression in dopaminergic neurons decreased Gad expression. These results suggest MIA-induced MHCII upregulation enhances pruning of GABAergic synapses on dopaminergic neurons, leading to behavioral deficits.

Objective White smoke inhalation injury (WSI) causes severe acute lung damage with no specific therapy currently available. Sphingolipid metabolism is implicated in pulmonary inflammation, but its transcriptional regulatory landscape in WSI remains unexplored. This study aimed to identify key sphingolipid metabolism related genes and evaluate their regulatory roles and therapeutic potential in WSI. Methods We established a rat model of WSI and performed integrated bulk RNA sequencing, weighted gene coexpression network analysis (WGCNA), and single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNAseq) to screen for differentially expressed sphingolipid metabolism-related genes (DESRGs). Protein-protein interaction (PPI) network with four centrality algorithms was used to prioritize hub genes. In silico gene knockout and molecular docking were conducted to assess regulatory functions and identify potential drug candidates. Results We identified 22 DESRGs that were predominantly enriched in DNA replication and cell cycle pathways rather than canonical sphingolipid metabolic processes. PPI consensus prioritized three hub genes--Top2a, Ttk, and Ccna2--with Top2a exhibiting the highest expression in epithelial cells and significant downregulation after smoke exposure. ScRNAseq revealed immune cell infiltration and epithelial differentiation trajectories. Virtual knockout showed that Top2a depletion affected the largest transcriptomic fraction (~0.4%) and was enriched in lysosome biogenesis, innate immunity, phagocytosis, and lipid catabolism. Molecular docking identified thalidomide as a high affinity ligand for Top2a (Vina score: -8.5 kcal/mol). Conclusion Our multiomics integrative framework identifies Top2a as a central regulatory hub linking sphingolipid associated inflammation to epithelial responses in WSI, and nominates thalidomide as a potential drug repurposing candidate. These findings provide prioritized targets for future translational investigation.

A body of research suggests that autistic individuals are less likely to drink alcohol than neurotypicals. However, emerging studies support a link between autism and alcohol use. This complex relationship is also reflected in studies that have examined the genetic overlap between the two traits. However, it is unclear whether there is a direct causal relationship between them. To explore this, we applied a combination of polygenic score and Mendelian randomisation analyses using publicly available genome-wide summary statistics and phenotypic measures of autism and alcohol consumption from UK Biobank. LD score regression analyses did not provide evidence of a genetic correlation between genetic liability for autism and drinks consumed per week (rg=-0.08; CI95%=-0.19, 0.03). Further, findings from polygenic score analyses did not support an association between genetic liability for autism and overall monthly alcohol intake. Univariable Mendelian randomisation analyses showed little evidence for a total effect of autism, attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) or depression on overall monthly alcohol consumption. Multivariable Mendelian randomisation analyses also showed little evidence of a direct effect of autism on drinks per week when controlling for ADHD and depression. It is plausible that genetic liability for autism does not directly increase the amount of alcohol consumed but instead operates via commonly co-occurring difficulties in the autistic community. However, our findings may be due to methodological shortcomings, including weak instruments biasing effects towards to the null. Consequently, results should be interpreted with caution and further research conducted to address these issues.

Excitatory synaptic plasticity within the nucleus accumbens (NAc) drives motivated behaviors, and dysregulation is implicated in several psychiatric disorders marked by impaired reward processing. The NAc integrates glutamatergic input, which conveys information about reward, context, and behavioral goals, with local GABAergic signaling that regulates excitatory transmission and medium spiny neuron (MSNs) output. However, little is known regarding GABA-dependent modulation of activity-dependent excitatory synaptic plasticity. Here, we investigated GABAB receptor (GABABR) regulation of plasticity at hippocampus (Hipp)-NAc synapses, at which plasticity is a key mediator of reward-related behaviors. Using whole-cell electrophysiological recordings in mouse brain slices, we found that pharmacological inhibition of GABABRs converts long-term potentiation (LTP) into long-term depression (LTD) selectively in females, identifying a sex-specific role for GABABRs in modulating long-term plasticity of Hipp-MSN synapses. This LTD required mGluR5 activation and estrogen receptor alpha (ER) in both D1- and D2-expressing MSN subtypes, while only D1-MSNs suggested that LTD was expressed presynaptically through a CB1 receptor-dependent mechanism. Notably, GABABR inhibition did not alter basal synaptic transmission, indicating a specific role for these receptors in gating plasticity beyond regulation of basal excitatory drive. Together, these findings identify a novel, sex-specific mechanism by which GABABRs control the direction of synaptic plasticity.

Background Alcohol use disorder (AUD) is highly prevalent in schizophrenia, yet the neurobiological basis of this vulnerability remains poorly understood. Neurodevelopmental models suggest that pre-existing brain dysconnectivity may increase vulnerability to AUD. We therefore tested whether schizophrenia-like neurodevelopmental pathology alters how alcohol-related experience is incorporated into large-scale brain networks. Methods Resting-state functional connectivity was assessed in male Sprague-Dawley rats (n = 18-21/group) with neonatal ventral hippocampal lesions (NVHL), a neurodevelopmental model of schizophrenia, and sham-operated controls, with or without voluntary adolescent alcohol exposure. Functional connectivity was assessed using seed-to-voxel and seed-to-seed analyses within a cortico-striato-limbic network. We additionally examined whether individual alcohol intake during adolescence predicted adult functional connectivity according to neurodevelopmental status. Results NVHL and adolescent alcohol exposure independently produced predominantly hypoconnected cortico-striato-limbic networks. However, alcohol exposure did not exacerbate NVHL-associated dysconnectivity but instead induced a distinct network reorganization characterized by functional hyperconnectivity. Although alcohol intake was comparable between groups, dose-dependent relationships between adolescent alcohol consumption and adult functional connectivity were observed in sham animals but were absent or markedly attenuated in NVHL rats. These effects were primarily centered on prelimbic cortex connectivity with the amygdala, hippocampus, and dorsal striatum, highlighting this circuitry as a major locus of altered experience-dependent remodeling. Conclusions These findings suggest that vulnerability to AUD associated with schizophrenia-like neurodevelopment may arise less from additive network dysfunction than from an altered capacity of large-scale brain networks for experience-dependent functional remodeling. Schizophrenia-like neurodevelopmental pathology may therefore change how alcohol-related experience is translated into persistent brain network organization.

Despite its strong link to neuropsychiatric conditions, frustration remains critically understudied in humans and animals alike. Therefore, there is an urgent need to develop tools to understand and therapeutically target frustration-related functions. Interestingly, humans and rats respond similarly during frustrative nonreward by increasing barpress durations. We previously validated barpress duration in rat operant tasks as a reliable measure of frustration-related behavior; however, it is wellknown that in addition to duration of responding, emotional states such as frustration alter other aspects of responding such as force of pressing. One-dimensional, static measures such as maximum force could miss rich information contained within operant data. Thus, the objective of this study is to apply machine learning (ML) to force/time profiles to discriminate frustration-related barpresses from non-frustration-related barpresses. Results showed an AUROC for FR1 (i.e., non-frustrated) vs. extinction (frustrated condition) for individual barpresses of 0.65 that improved to 0.84 with a chunk size of 10. The model generalized well to progressive ratio responding, a different kind of frustration procedure. We conclude that force/time profiling does provide utility beyond one dimensional measures of duration or force separately, meaning that we can indeed infer the internal state of frustration from behavior using ML techniques. Importantly, this project will also serve as proof-of-concept for applying ML to predict other internal states from barpress data.

PACS1 syndrome is a rare neurodevelopmental disorder caused by a recurrent de novo missense variant (p.R203W) in the PACS1 protein. However, it remains unclear whether the p.R203W variant acts through a loss-of-function or alternative mechanism. Here, we used isogenic iPSC-derived neurons (iNs) to directly compare the effects of PACS1 p.R203W to complete loss of PACS1 function. Using a combination of proteomic, biochemical and electrophysiological approaches, we identified molecular and functional phenotypes associated with each genotype. While PACS1(+/R203W) and PACS1(-/-) iNs shared phenotypic abnormalities, the overall molecular and functional consequences of the p.R203W variant were distinct from those caused by PACS1 deficiency. Notably, PACS1(+/R203W) presented with unique proteomic and kinase signaling signatures and a shift in stimulus dependent excitability. These findings demonstrate that PACS1 syndrome is not caused by a simple loss of function and instead support a non-loss-of-function mechanism. Lastly, our interactome analysis suggests that the p.R203W variant retains aspects of canonical PACS1 function while acquiring novel molecular interactions that could contribute to PACS1 syndrome pathogenesis. Altogether, these findings provide a framework for future mechanistic studies and therapeutic development in PACS1 syndrome. GRAPHICAL ABSTRACT O_FIG O_LINKSMALLFIG WIDTH=200 HEIGHT=98 SRC="FIGDIR/small/747101v1_ufig1.gif" ALT="Figure 1"> View larger version (20K): org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@d1522corg.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@69e4dforg.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@30eebcorg.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@899b9d_HPS_FORMAT_FIGEXP M_FIG C_FIG

Anxiety-related traits (ARTs) have been linked to altered fear learning, but previous studies have typically examined different experimental phases and response systems, limiting the comparability of findings and the accumulation of consistent evidence. Here, we comprehensively examined associations between ARTs and fear conditioning across acquisition, extinction and renewal and across subjective, physiological and neural response systems in a well-powered sample (N = 267) using a two-day differential conditioning paradigm. ARTs were operationalized as a composite of trait anxiety, neuroticism, and intolerance of uncertainty and conditioned responding was assessed using skin conductance responses, fear-potentiated startle, US expectancy ratings, fear ratings, and functional magnetic resonance imaging. Higher ARTs were consistently associated with elevated subjective fear and US expectancy to both threat and safety cues during extinction and renewal, without corresponding elevations in physiological responding. At the same time, ARTs were not associated with threat-safety discrimination in subjective or physiological measures across phases, while neural associations were limited to reduced dorsal anterior cingulate cortex discrimination during early renewal. These findings suggest that ARTs are characterized by a CS unspecific cognitive bias toward heightened threat expectancy and evaluation rather than altered associative fear learning, highlighting the importance of distinguishing conditioned discrimination from general levels of responding across response systems.

Background: As cannabis policy changes in the United States, secondhand cannabis smoke (SCS) is increasingly common, including within families. However, prevalence of exposure and clinical correlates over time in adolescents are not fully understood. Objectives: (1) To estimate the prevalence of SCS and personal cannabis use in US-based teens exposed to SCS, and (2) examine the cognitive trajectories of adolescents exposed to SCS compared to non-exposed peers. Methods: Data from the Adolescent Brain Cognitive Development (ABCD) Study was used. Participants (n=11,316 of full cohort with follow-up data; n=776 with self-reported family SCS exposure) attended yearly visits from ages 11-17, completing substance use interviews, toxicological testing, and the NIH Toolbox Cognitive battery. Youth with SCS but no personal cannabis use (n=419; 47% female) were matched on prenatal substance exposure, family substance use history, and sociodemographics to non-SCS exposed and non-cannabis-using youth with a 1:2 ratio (Controls n=838). Linear mixed-effects models assessed cognitive performance by SCS*age interactions, accounting for random effects of subject and family. Covariates included sex and alcohol, nicotine, and other substance use. Secondary models analyzed performance by cumulative waves of reported SCS exposure interacting with age. Results: Of the full cohort, 6.9% (n=776) reported exposure to SCS. Of these individuals, 46% endorsed lifetime personal cannabis use by age 17, relative to 20% of non-SCS exposed youth (OR=3.83[95%CI:3.29,4.44]). Within matched participants, SCS*age demonstrated a significant interaction on attention and inhibitory control ({beta}=-0.32, p=.028), with SCS demonstrating reduced improvement over time. More waves of exposure were also associated with worse performance over time ({beta}=-0.39, p=.057). Discussion: Almost half of those who had been exposed to SCS endorsed personal cannabis use. Cognitive findings were domain specific, similar to findings in secondhand tobacco: SCS exposed youth showed restricted improvement in attention and inhibitory control by age 17. Public health and policymakers should make efforts to curb youth SCS exposure, given the potential for risk which has not been fully explored to date.

Schizophrenia (SCZ) frequently co-occurs with substance use disorders (SUDs), yet the genetic basis of this comorbidity remains unclear. Using the latest European-ancestry genome-wide association studies (GWAS) for SCZ, cannabis use disorder (CanUD), opioid use disorder (OUD), problematic alcohol use (PAU), tobacco use disorder (TUD), and a general addiction factor (AF), together with two SCZ and one SUD case-control samples with individual-level genotype data, we applied multiple complementary genomic approaches to characterize their shared genetic architecture. Significant positive genome-wide genetic correlations were observed across all SCZ-SUD pairs. Local genetic correlation analyses identified multiple genomic regions contributing to this shared architecture, with both positive and negative correlations, and evidence of genomic regions shared across multiple SCZ-SUD pairs. Polygenic overlap analyses indicated substantial sharing (25-50%) of trait-associated variants between SCZ and SUDs. Genomic structural equation modelling supported a common latent factor underlying SCZ and all SUDs, accounting for approximately 23% of SCZ variance. Cross-trait polygenic risk score (PRS) analyses showed bidirectional associations between SCZ and SUD genetic liability. Mendelian randomization analyses provided evidence for a bidirectional causal relationship between SCZ and CanUD. Horizontal pleiotropy analyses identified numerous loci with concordant and discordant effects across traits, including loci shared among multiple SCZ-SUD pairs. Gene mapping and enrichment analyses indicated pathways related to neuroplasticity, synaptic transmission, immune system, metabolism and proteolysis, including both shared and SCZ-SUD specific biological processes. Overall, these findings suggest that part of SCZ liability reflects genetic susceptibility to SUDs with potential implications for patient stratification and clinical management.

Adolescent substance use is a major public health concern due to increased risk of future physical and mental health conditions. Fronto-striatal functioning - particularly regarding inhibition and reward processing - may increase vulnerability to high-risk substance use. However, it remains unclear if these neurobiological differences precede substance use or are consequences of it. The ongoing Adolescent Brain Cognitive Development (ABCD) Study follows over 10000 youth, offering an unprecedented opportunity to longitudinally examine substance use patterns throughout development. We utilized family-clustered time-varying Cox proportional hazard models to prospectively examine main and interaction effects of right Inferior Frontal Gyrus (IFG) inhibitory control and bilateral nucleus accumbens (NAc) reward response, alongside early life adversity and peer substance use as predictors of alcohol and cannabis onset in the ABCD Study. We identified a significant crossover interaction such that left NAc activity had a slight positive association with first full alcoholic drink in the context of higher right IFG activity but a negative association in the context of lower right IFG activity. However, peer alcohol and cannabis use emerged as the strongest predictors of outcomes. Alcohol onset was also more common in females, and early life adversity was associated only with cannabis onset. Findings indicate that interactions between inhibition- and reward-related brain regions may impact risk for early substance use onset, but these effects may be modest relative to socioenvironmental factors. Additionally, divergent alcohol and cannabis findings suggest that risk profiles are substance specific. Peer-focused strategies should be considered in preventive efforts.

Opioid addiction treatment is often hampered by the severe dysphoria of opioid withdrawal, but withdrawal treatments are limited by incomplete understanding of brain mechanisms involved. One area frequently implicated in withdrawal symptoms is the central amygdala, whose capsular portion (CeC) is particularly strongly activated during withdrawal. Additionally, a ventral posterior striatal region that resides near CeC, the interstitial nucleus of the posterior limb of the anterior commissure (IPACc), is also activated as strikingly as CeC. However, it is still unknown how these regions are activated, nor whether their activation explains the high intensity of withdrawal dysphoria. Using RNAscope, we found that c-fos expression is induced in the parabrachial nucleus (PB), a key glutamatergic afferent of CeC, after precipitated morphine withdrawal. Chemogenetic inhibition of PB glutamatergic neurons (VG2PB) nearly eliminated withdrawal-induced CeC c-Fos, without affecting IPACc c-Fos, indicating these two nuclei are activated by distinct sources. Furthermore, VG2PB inhibition markedly reduced somatic (jumping) and modestly reduced affective (place avoidance) withdrawal behavior. On the other hand, inhibition of CeC-projecting PB neuronal subtypes expressing calcitonin gene-related peptide (CGRP) or mu opioid receptor (MOR) reduced place avoidance without affecting jumping, indicating their specific role in withdrawal aversion. Strikingly, simultaneous inhibition of VG2PB and posterior striatal region containing IPACc robustly reduced withdrawal-induced place avoidance much more than the modest effects of either inhibition alone, suggesting their cooperative action in driving aversion. Our data suggests that PB-CeC circuit and posterior striatal area constitute a cooperative system driving opioid withdrawal aversion.

Background: Prostate cancer enzalutamide treatment is approved at a standard dose of 160 mg daily. Concerns for real-world patients -- older and more fragile than those enrolled in clinical trials -- have prompted consideration of initiating treatment with lower doses, but the long-term efficacy of this approach remains unknown. We evaluate the long-term survival and longevity in patients treated with standard versus upfront low-dose enzalutamide. Methods: Retrospective analysis of 151 patients treated with enzalutamide (102 receiving 160 mg; 49 receiving [&le;]80 mg) between 2014--2021 at the Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Martinique, with complete follow-up through end of life (98.7% completeness of follow-up). Primary outcomes were overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and longevity (attained age). Results: Doses [&le;]80 mg were associated with longer median OS (36.3 vs. 20.7 months), improved restricted mean OS (difference of 0.7 years, p=0.05), and enhanced longevity (median 82.5 vs. 78.3 years, p=0.004). PSA response rate at 12 weeks was higher with lower-dose (71.4% vs. 48.8%, p=0.016). In multivariable models adjusted for prognostic factors, [&le;]40 mg compared with 160 mg was non-inferior regarding OS (HR=0.61, 95% CI 0.36--1.06), superior regarding PFS (HR=0.59, 95% CI 0.35--0.99), and superior regarding longevity (HR=0.48, 95% CI 0.28--0.84). Bone metastasis, poor performance status, PSA response, time to PSA nadir, and disease duration were independent predictors of outcomes. A post-hoc analysis revealed a strong association between dose and physician-prescribing profiles, ranging from "endorse-lowest-dose" to "never-deviate-from-full-dose". Conclusions: Lower doses of enzalutamide were non-inferior to full-dose. Dose-adapted strategies warrant further investigation.

Importance Non-inferiority trials are becoming increasingly popular in abdominal surgery. The non- inferiority margin is critical in the interpretation and conclusion of these trials. Objective This systematic review aims to assess the methodological and reporting quality of non- inferiority randomized controlled trials in abdominal surgery. Evidence Review Non-inferiority trials were systematically identified by searching Ovid Medline, Embase and the CENTRAL databases from 2006 until December 2025. Randomized controlled trials in adult patients with any type of abdominal surgical intervention in at least one trial arm and a sample size greater than or equal to 100 were eligible for inclusion. The primary outcome was the definition of the non- inferiority margin. Secondary outcomes were the reporting of the non-inferiority margin, the robustness of its estimation, the uncertainty of the point estimate and the adequacy of conclusions. Findings A total of 11 045 trials were identified, of which 101 were eligible, enrolling 44 370 patients. Most trials provided a rationale for the non-inferiority design, while six (5.9%) trials did not. Previous literature was commonly used (n=56; 55.4%), but the non-inferiority margin was most often based on a clinical fixed margin or on historical comparison of the treatment and the active comparator. Based on the margin, investigators tolerated substantially worse outcomes of the treatment compared to the comparator. Conclusions were appropriate based on the confidence interval and the predefined non- inferiority margin in 88 (87.1%) of trials. The clinical judgement of the conclusion was overall adequate. Confidence interval estimations were reported in 16 (15.8%) of trials. Simulation studies were limited by the reporting quality. Conclusions and Relevance Clinical fixed margins are commonly used in abdominal surgery non-inferiority randomized controlled trials, however, substantial shortcomings in reporting limit the interpretability and reproduction of study findings. Based on the findings of this study, guidance on surgical- specific non-inferiority margin definitions is needed.

Importance: Evidence on GLP-1/GIP therapies is largely derived from trials enrolling selected populations or medical records that miss utilization outside healthcare channels. No nationally representative cohort has characterized real-world uptake, indications, and access. Objective: To characterize GLP-1/GIP prevalence, indication, clinical profile, and access. Design: Prospective cohort study with three GLP-1/GIP surveillance waves (March 2024, December 2024, October 2025). Setting: The Understanding America Study, an address-based, nationally representative panel of approximately 15,000 US adults aged 18+ years initiated in 2014. Participants: UAS participants responding to at least one surveillance wave (n=9150). Exposures: GLP-1/GIP use status (never vs any use, comprising current and former use), self-reported primary indication (diabetes, weight loss, or other), and access pathway (traditional vs non-traditional). Main Outcomes and Measures: Survey-weighted prevalence of GLP-1/GIP use, overall and by indication and access pathway; sociodemographic, cardiometabolic, treatment, and access characteristics; and smartwatch-derived resting heart rate, heart rate variability, maximum activity heart rate, step count, and sleep duration and variability. Results: Among n=9150 adults (1274 with any use; 60.9% female; median age 53 years), weighted prevalence increased 46%, from 8.2% (March 2024) to 12.0% (October 2025) representing 32 million. Weight-loss indications grew, reaching nearly half of use (4.1% to 5.6%); diabetes-indicated use was stable (5.3% to 5.4%). Users carried high cardiometabolic burden (obesity, 68.2%; diabetes, 53.6%) but diverged by indication: diabetes-indicated users were older (median, 59 vs 49 years), whereas weight-loss-indicated users were more often female (69.9% vs 51.3%) and healthier. One in three users (~9 million) had non-traditional access, especially in weight-loss-indicated users, of whom 33% had no conventional prescription; 41% used compounding, online, or foreign pharmacies; and, 43% lacked coverage. Non-traditional users were five times as likely to report an unlisted, likely compounded formulation (19.8% vs 4.1%). All p<0.05. Conclusions and Relevance: Real-world GLP-1/GIP use has grown rapidly and diversified substantially in indication, access, and population profile. One in 3 users obtained treatment through nontraditional channels largely invisible to claims data, raising long-term safety, efficacy, and coverage questions. GLIMMER provides a public, nationally representative longitudinal evidence base for future payer and provider decisions.

Background: Sleeve gastrectomy is the most frequently performed bariatric procedure worldwide but is associated with the development of de novo gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD). Hiatal hernia has been identified as a relevant anatomical factor in postoperative reflux, although most studies evaluate it dichotomously without analyzing whether its size influences GERD risk. The aim was to evaluate the association between preoperative hiatal hernia size and de novo GERD after sleeve gastrectomy. Methods: Retrospective, single - center, observational study of patients undergoing sleeve gastrectomy at Hospital Central Norte de Petroleos Mexicanos (2018 - 2025). Demographic and clinical characteristics, endoscopic classification of hiatal hernia size (small <2 cm, medium 2.1 - 4 cm, large >4 cm), and evidence of de novo GERD were analyzed using descriptive statistics, Fisher's exact test, odds ratio (=R) estimation with 95% confidence intervals (CI), and binary logistic regression. Statistical significance was set at p<0.05. Results: Fiftysix patients were included (mean age 48.3 {+/-} 8.1 years; 67.9% male). Hiatal hernia classification was conclusive in 46 patients (82.1%): 63.0% no hernia, 4.3% small, 30.4% medium, and 2.2% large. De novo GERD occurred in 14.0% of patients without preexisting GERD (6/43). No significant association was found between hiatal hernia size and de novo GERD (Fisher p=0.515). In the reduced logistic model, neither hiatal hernia (medium/large vs. absent/small; OR 3.47; 95% CI 0.50 - 29.43; p=0.207) nor age (OR 1.02; 95% CI 0.90 - 1.13; p=0.754) was significantly associated. No evaluated factor (sex, smoking, alcohol, age) reached significance. Conclusions: In this cohort, no statistically significant association was demonstrated between preoperative hiatal hernia size and de novo GERD after sleeve gastrectomy; however, the low number of events limits the ability to exclude a clinically relevant association. These findings are compatible with a multifactorial mechanism rather than with the isolated presence of this finding. Prospective studies with larger sample sizes and standardized reflux assessment instruments are required to confirm these results.

Background. Videolaryngoscopy still requires adjuncts or hyperangulated rescue in a clinically important minority, and bedside screening discriminates modestly. Point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) of the anterior airway is a promising alternative, but existing prediction models are opaque or assume a pre-specified functional form. We developed and internally validated a parsimonious, fully disclosed POCUS risk equation whose form is recovered from data and whose structural properties are machine-checked by formal proof - to our knowledge the first formally verified clinical risk predictor - following TRIPOD+AI 2024. Methods. In a prospective single-centre, single-operator cohort of 259 adults undergoing elective videolaryngoscopy (no-Easy airway 68/259, 26.3%), Sequentially Thresholded Least Squares with bootstrap stability selection (B=300) screened a 71-term library of nine POCUS features and retained a seven-term logistic equation; a two-term bootstrap-stable model was pre-specified as robustness analysis. Internal validation used 5x10 repeated cross-validation plus temporal and device hold-outs, with pre-specified overfitting and optimism assessments. Five behavioural properties of the deployed equation were machine-checked in Lean 4. Results. Two interactions met the |c|/sigma_c>2 stability criterion: skin-to-epiglottis x skin-to-hyoid-bone distance and tongue volume x sagittal tongue area. The seven-term equation reached a 5x10 cross-validated C-statistic of 0.966 (optimism-corrected 0.968) and held across temporal and device hold-outs (0.94-0.97). Calibration-in-the-large matched prevalence, with cross-validated slope 0.90 attenuating to 0.625 out-of-time; standard recalibration restored 0.92 without loss of discrimination. The pre-specified two-term robustness model reproduced this performance (C-statistic 0.964-0.968; events-per-parameter 34; shrinkage 0.99), confirming the result is not an artefact of the screening stage. Net benefit over a clinical baseline was positive across 10-50% thresholds. All five Lean 4 theorems compiled without sorry. Conclusions. A sparse, formally verified POCUS equation predicts difficult videolaryngoscopy with high internally validated discrimination and quantified, modest overfitting. Because the equation was developed in a single-operator cohort and its inputs are operator-dependent, external validation requires prior harmonisation of the measurement protocol and operator credentialing.